The Scoggins Report: August 2011 Scorecard

2011 Spec Market Scorecard as of August 19

The expected summer slowdown has finally arrived in the spec market. July ended strong, as we reported in the last Scoggins Report, and August’s numbers already match 2010’s, but the crickets have been chirpping since the beginning of the month. We expect this pace to continue through Labor Day.

Since the fall selling season will kick off in less than two weeks, though, we took a look at the last two year’s fall numbers for clues to what to expect through the end of the year. Here are the highlights:

  • Studio Buyers: Last year the studios bought 15 specs between September 1 and December 31. Since Warner Bros. grabbed 7 of those and they’ve already bought 9 scripts this year, it’s probably unlikely we’ll hit that mark this year. 2009’s numbers are achievable: The studios bought 11 specs during the period that year, led by Paramount with 3. Lionsgate has yet to get into the game this year, and Relativity is going to need material to feed its new Chinese production/distribution partnership.
  • Other Buyers: Non-studio buyers bought 10 specs in 2010 and 8 specs in 2009. There isn’t much of a pattern in those purchases, so it’s anyone’s guess where we’ll end up this year. There are still a significant number of buyers from 2009 who haven’t bought yet in 2011, though, so we think we’ll hit the over/under.
  • Agencies: The top four agencies sold 17 specs during the Fall of 2010 (led by CAA and WME, with 5 each) and 16 during the period in 2009 (led by ICM with 5 and WME with 3). Agencies’ sales are governed by buyers’ appetities, obviously, but chances are good that the top agency (whichever it is) will be in the range of 2010‘s winner (CAA, with 12 spec sales) and 2009’s (CAA again, with 14).

Enjoy the rest of your summer, and have a fantastic Labor Day Weekend.

2011 Overall Spec Numbers (through July 22) 1,2:

All Specs Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
Specs 16 37 33 39 31 39 20 10 225
Sales 2 10 15 6 6 9 6 1 55
Percent 13 27 46 15 19 23 30 10 24

1 This grid tallies sales of scripts in the month they originally went out. All other grids in this report are straight tallies of each month’s sales.

2 Feb, Apr and Aug numbers do not include the sale of a script that went out prior to 2011. March numbers do not include two sold scripts that went out prior to 2011.


Spec Sales By Genre (sold/total):

Genre (sales)

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Total

% of

Sales

Action/Adventure 0/2 1/3 1/5 2/9 1/5 2/8 0/0 0/1 7/33 12%
Comedy 0/5 2/12 6/9 1/11 2/12 4/13 1/7 0/1 16/70 27%
Drama 0/0 0/3 0/1 2/6 1/2 0/2 1/2 0/0 4/16 7%
Fantasy 0/0 0/0 0/2 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/4 0%
Horror 0/1 3/4 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/2 2/2 0/0 6/10 10%
Western 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 2%
Sci-Fi 0/2 0/3 2/4 1/2 1/3 3/3 1/2 0/1 8/20 14%
Thriller 1/5 3/10 8/16 1/12 2/9 2/8 1/5 2/7 20/72 34%


Spec Sales By Buyer – Studios:

Buyers (Studios) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total 2010 2009
CBS Films 1 1 2 0 2
Columbia 1 4 2 7 1 5
Dimension 1 1 0 1
Disney 1 1 2 2
DreamWorks 1 1 2 1 4
Fox 2 1 1 4 2 3
Fox Searchlight 1 1 1 1
New Line 1 1 0 0
Paramount 1 2 1 4 4 5
Relativity 1 1 2 6 3
Summit 1 1 3 2
Universal 2 1 3 2 6
Warner Bros. 2 1 1 2 3 9 9 6


Spec Sales By Buyer – Other Buyers:

Buyers (Other) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total 2010 2009
1984 Films 1 1 0 0
Animation Picture Co. 1 1 0 0
Bold Films 1 1 1 0
Caliber Media 1 1 1 0
Crime Scene Pictures 1 1 0 0
Dark Castle 1 1 2 1 0
Gracie Films 1 1 0 0
IM Global 1 1 0 0
Inferno 1 1 0 0
Mandate 1 1 2 2 1
Montecito 1 1 2 0 0
MPCA 1 1 0 0
Nasser Ent. 1 1 1 0
Radar 1 1 2 0
RCR 1 1 0 0
Route One 1 1 1 0
Sidney Kimmel 1 1 0 1
Skydance 1 1 0 0
Stone Village Pictures 1 1 0 0
Ten Thirty-One 1 1 0 0
Valhalla 1 1 0 0
Wendy Finerman Prods 1 1 0 0

Each of the following production companies has been attached to at least one spec sale so far this year. Companies in bold have been added since the last scorecard.

21 Laps

Anonymous Content

Aversano Films

After Dark

Appian Way

Alliance Films

Automatik Entertainment

Big Kid Pictures

Berlanti Productions

Chernin Entertainment

Contrafilm

Davis Entertainment

Disruption Entertainment (2)

EMJAG

Escape Artists

IDW

FilmEngine

Furst Films

Genre Films

Hollywood Gang (2)

Ixtlan

Josephson Entertainment

Katsmith Productions

Langley Park (2)

Leverage Management

Linson Entertainment

Marc Platt Productions

Mandeville Films

Matt Tolmach Productions

Michael De Luca Productions

Montecito (2)

Original Film

Panay Films

Pearl Street

Platinum Dunes

Radar Pictures

Silver Pictures

Stuber Pictures

Temple Hill

Top Cow

Wigram Productions

Valhalla

WideAwake

LBI Entertainment (fka The Unnamed Yorn Company)


Spec Sales by Seller – Agencies (sold/total):

Sellers – Agents Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Overall

Efficiency

APA 1/4 0/4 0/1 1/3 0/1 0/0 1/3 0/0 3/16  19%
CAA 0/1 3/61 2/11 1/3 1/4 3/61 2/3 0/0 9/24  38%
Gersh 0/0 3/5 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/3 0/0 0/1 4/10  40%
ICM 0/2 0/1 3/5 1/4 0/3 1/4 1/1 1/0 6/20  30%
Innovative 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2   50%
Paradigm 0/2 1/2 1/2 2/3 0/0 1/1 1/2 0/1 6/13  46%
The Agency 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1  100%
UTA 0/0 0/2 5/6 1/31 2/3 2/4 0/3 0/0 9/21  43%
Verve 0/2 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 1/3 0/0 0/0 2/7   29%
WME 0/0 2/4 2/5 2/21 3/4 1/4 1/4 0/0 10/23 44%

1 Includes a script not counted toward the company’s 2011 efficiency rating because it originally went out prior to 2011.


Spec Sales by Seller – Management Companies (sold/total):

Sellers – Managers Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Overall

Efficiency

Baumgarten 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1  100%
Benderspink 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 1/2 3/3 0/1 0/0 5/8   63%
Brillstein 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/11 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/2    0%
Caliber 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/2   50%
Circle of Confusion 0/0 2/41 0/1 0/1 1/5 0/3 0/2 0/0 2/15  13%
Energy 0/0 0/0 0/0 2/31 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/3   33%
Evolution 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1  100%
FilmEngine 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2   50%
Generate 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1  100%
Gotham 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/01 0/2 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/4   25%
H2F 0/0 0/0 2/4 0/1 0/1 1/1 0/0 0/1 3/8   38%
Industry 0/0 0/0 1/2 0/0 2/2 0/0 0/0 0/1 3/5   60%
Kaplan/Perrone 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/1 0/2 0/1 0/0 1/6   17%
Kevin Donahue 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1  100%
Mad Hatter 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 2/2  100%
Manage-ment 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/01 0/1    0%
MXN 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/2   50%
New Wave 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2 1/2 0/0 2/4   50%
Principato/Young 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 1/1 0/0 2/3   67%
Realm 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1  100%
R.E.D. 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/1  100%
ROAR 0/0 1/2 2/11 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 2/3   67%
Silent R 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2   50%
Smart Ent. 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2   50%
Underground 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1  100%
Wirehouse 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1  100%

1 Includes a script not counted toward the company’s 2011 efficiency rating because it originally went out prior to 2011.


About The Scoggins Report:

The Scoggins Report is a terribly unscientific analysis of the feature film development business based on information assembled from a variety of public and non-public sources. The numbers in the reports are by no means official statistics. Past editions of The Scoggins Report can be found in the archives of The Business of Show Institute (http://bit.ly/2HRZ67) and now have a beautiful new home on www.theWrap.com.

Details on every person, project and company covered by the Report can also be found at www.ItsontheGrid.com, a proud division of The Wrap News, Inc. IOTG is the only place mere mortals can find listings of Hollywood’s active open writing and directing assignments, not to mention comprehensive spec market data; active film development information and credits for released movies going back to 1988.

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