The Scoggins Report: July 2011

The Scoggins Report is a compilation of spec sales and trends in the industry. Archive editions of The Scoggins Report can be found at The Business of Show Institute and on www.thewrap.com. Details on every person, project, and company covered by the Report can also be found at www.ItsontheGrid.com. The Report is reprinted at Scriptmag.com by permission of the authors.

2011 Spec Market Scorecard as of July 22

With the Spring selling season behind us and Summer in full-swing, you’d expect the spec market to be completely dead. That’s what happened last year, anyway; there were zero spec sales in July 2010 and just one in August.

But that’s so twelve months ago. As you can see from the grids on the next pages, the spec business is still going strong. In fact, July may well end up on par with April and May’s numbers.

2011’s sales numbers in general have been as strong as we’ve seen since the 2007 WGA strike. Here’s a direct comparison of the year-over-year numbers for January through June:

Year 2009 2010 2011
Total Specs 300 222 194
Sales 50 42 47
Studio Purchases 27 16 31

As you can see, the studios’ collective appetite for specs (led by two studios in particular) has grown dramatically this year. Here are our favorite highlights from the last month:

  • After trailing Columbia since February, Warner Bros. has jumped to the top of the Buyers list, with 2 spec purchases each in June and July.  Their total of 8 for the year puts them just 1 shy of their 2010 tally and now 1 ahead of Columbia this year.  The Burbank studio has bought 16 specs in the last 13 months; no other studio is even in the double digits over that span.
  • UTA and WME are still tied for the lead among sellers, with 9 spec sales each, but expect a change by this time next month:  UTA is entertaining offers for what will be its 10th sale of the year as of this writing, and third place CAA’s 8th sale of the year happened after the cutoff for this report.

The numbers for 2011 through July 22 are below.  Enjoy.

2011 Overall Spec Numbers (through July 22) 1,2:

All Specs Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
Specs 16 37 33 39 31 38 17 211
Sales 2 10 15 6 6 8 4 51
Percent 12.5 27 45.5 15.3 19.3 21 23.5 24.2

1 This grid tallies sales of scripts in the month they originally went out.  All other grids in this report are straight tallies of each month’s sales.

2 Feb, Mar and Apr numbers do not include the sale of a script that went out prior to 2011.


Spec Sales By Genre (sold/total):

Genre (sales)

Jan

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

Total

% of 2011

Spec Sales

Action/Adventure 0/2 1/3 0/4 2/9 1/5 2/8 0/0 6/31 11.8%
Comedy 0/5 2/12 6/9 1/11 2/12 3/12 1/7 15/68 29.4%
Drama 0/0 0/3 0/1 2/6 1/2 0/2 0/0 3/14 5.9%
Fantasy 0/0 0/0 0/2 0/1 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/4 0%
Horror 0/1 3/4 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/2 2/2 6/10 11.8%
Western 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 2%
Sci-Fi 0/2 0/3 2/4 1/2 1/3 3/3 1/2 8/19 15.7%
Thriller 1/5 3/10 8/16 1/12 2/9 2/8 0/4 17/64 33.3%


Spec Sales By Buyer – Studios:

Buyers (Studios) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total 2010 2009
CBS Films 1 1 2 0 2
Columbia 1 4 2 7 1 5
Dimension 1 1 0 1
Disney 1 1 2 2
DreamWorks 1 1 2 1 4
Fox 1 1 1 3 2 3
Fox Searchlight 1 1 1 1
New Line 1 1 0 0
Paramount 1 2 3 4 5
Relativity 1 1 2 6 3
Summit 1 1 3 2
Universal 2 1 3 2 6
Warner Bros. 2 1 1 2 2 8 9 6


Spec Sales By Buyer – Other Buyers:

Buyers (Other) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total 2010 2009
1984 Films 1 1 0 0
Animation Picture Co. 1 1 0 0
Bold Films 1 1 1 0
Caliber Media 1 1 1 0
Crime Scene Pictures 1 1 0 0
Dark Castle 1 1 1 0
Gracie Films 1 1 0 0
IM Global 1 1 0 0
Mandate 1 1 2 1
Montecito 1 1 0 0
MPCA 1 1 0 0
Nasser Ent. 1 1 1 0
Radar 1 1 2 0
RCR 1 1 0 0
Route One 1 1 1 0
Sidney Kimmel 1 1 0 1
Skydance 1 1 0 0
Stone Village Pictures 1 1 0 0
Ten Thirty-One 1 1 0 0
Valhalla 1 1 0 0
Wendy Finerman Prods 1 1 0 0


Each of the following production companies has been attached to at least one spec sale so far this year. Companies in bold are new since the last scorecard.

Anonymous Content

Aversano Films

After Dark

Appian Way

Alliance Films

Automatik Entertainment

Big Kid Pictures

Berlanti Productions

Chernin Entertainment

Contrafilm

Davis Entertainment

Disruption Entertainment (2)

Escape Artists

IDW

FilmEngine

Furst Films

Genre Films

Hollywood Gang (2)

Ixtlan

Josephson Entertainment

Katsmith Productions

Langley Park (2)

Leverage Management

Marc Platt Productions

Mandeville Films

Matt Tolmach Productions

Michael De Luca Productions

Montecito

Original Film

Panay Films

Pearl Street

Platinum Dunes

Radar Pictures

Silver Pictures

Stuber Pictures

Temple Hill

Top Cow

Wigram Productions

Valhalla

WideAwake

Yorn Company


Spec Sales by Seller – Agencies (sold/total):

Sellers – Agents Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Overall

Efficiency

APA 1/4 0/4 0/1 1/3 0/1 0/0 1/3 3/16    19%
CAA 0/1 3/61 1/1 1/3 1/4 3/61 0/1 7/22    32%
Gersh 0/0 3/5 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/3 0/0 4/9      44%
ICM 0/2 0/1 3/5 1/4 0/3 1/4 1/1 6/20    30%
Innovative 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2      50%
Paradigm 0/2 1/2 1/2 2/3 0/0 1/1 1/2 6/12    50%
The Agency 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1    100%
UTA 0/0 0/2 5/6 1/31 2/3 2/4 0/2 9/20    45%
Verve 0/2 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 1/3 0/0 2/7      29%
WME 0/0 2/4 2/5 2/21 3/4 0/3 1/4 9/22    41%

1 Includes a script not counted toward the company’s 2011 efficiency rating because it originally went out prior to 2011.


Spec Sales by Seller – Management Companies (sold/total):

Sellers – Managers Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Overall

Efficiency

Baumgarten 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1    100%
Benderspink 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 1/2 3/3 0/1 5/8      63%
Brillstein 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/11 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/2        0%
Caliber 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/1 0/0 1/2      50%
Circle of Confusion 0/0 2/41 0/1 0/1 1/5 0/3 0/2 2/15    13%
Energy 0/0 0/0 0/0 2/31 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/3      33%
Evolution 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1    100%
FilmEngine 1/1 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2      50%
Generate 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1    100%
Gotham 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/01 0/1 1/1 0/0 1/3      33%
H2F 0/0 0/0 2/4 0/1 0/1 1/1 0/0 3/7      43%
Industry 0/0 0/0 1/2 0/0 2/2 0/0 0/0 3/4      75%
Kaplan/Perrone 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/1 0/1 0/2 0/1 1/6      17%
Kevin Donahue 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 1/1    100%
Mad Hatter 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 2/2    100%
New Wave 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2 0/1 1/3      33%
Principato/Young 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/1 1/1 1/1 2/3      67%
Realm 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1    100%
R.E.D. 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 1/1    100%
ROAR 0/0 1/2 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 2/3      67%
Silent R 0/0 0/1 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 1/2      50%
Smart Ent. 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/2      50%
Underground 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1    100%
Wirehouse 0/0 0/0 1/1 0/0 0/0 0/0 0/0 1/1    100%

1 Includes a script not counted toward the company’s 2011 efficiency rating because it originally went out prior to 2011.


About The Scoggins Report:

The Scoggins Report is a terribly unscientific analysis of the feature film development business based on information assembled from a variety of public and non-public sources.  The numbers in the reports are by no means official statistics.  Past editions of The Scoggins Report can be found in the archives of The Business of Show Institute (http://bit.ly/2HRZ67) and now have a beautiful new home on www.theWrap.com.

Details on every person, project and company covered by the Report can also be found at www.ItsontheGrid.com, a proud division of The Wrap News, Inc.  IOTG is the only place mere mortals can find listings of Hollywood’s active open writing and directing assignments, not to mention comprehensive spec market data; active film development information and relevant credits for released movies going back to 1988.

The IOTG Blog has a new home on the site, by the way:  www.ItsontheGrid.com/news It includes daily highlights of recent database updates and individual posts on every spec that hits the market.  You’ll find buttons to subscribe to the blog’s feed right where you’d expect them, and you can follow the site’s Twitter feed here:  http://twitter.com/itsonthegrid.

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